Thursday, July 3, 2008

The New Inevitable

Those who are watching the summer polls of Barack Obama should be paying very close attention, and here's why: The big media sell of the Obama campaign has been that he’s going to be President. And the public is going along with it.

These polls show that people can see him as President this stage of the game, meaning that his narrative is going according to plan. From
CNN polling director Keating Holland notes that Tuesday's survey confirms what a string of national polls released this month have shown: Obama holds a slight advantage over McCain, though not a big enough one to constitute a statistical lead.

‘Every standard telephone poll taken in June has shown Obama ahead of McCain, with nearly all of them showing Obama's margin somewhere between 3 and 6 points," Holland said. "In most of them, that margin is not enough to give him a lead in a statistical sense, but it appears that June has been a good month for Obama.’
So what is the plan?

Not that he’s going to beat John McCain, or win swing states, or get Hillary supporters, or raise more money.

There isn’t much mention about him even actually winning something as lowbrow as an election. The plan is, come January, the country will have Obama as its President. The campaign is and will be an explanation on why that decision has been made.

I used to tell people four years ago that I didn’t know what John Kerry’s America looked like. He hadn’t sold it to me. But from a distance I could guess that it resembled Bushworld with a better landscaper: pretty much the same political environment, only with Democrats, uh, winning.

More to the point, no one had gotten used to the idea that Kerry or Gore would be President. The public hadn’t kicked their tires because it felt like these two wouldn’t be around very long. The collective pitch of both candidates, you see, was that they were going to be better politicians then Dubya. But anyone who wants the Oval Office has to sell themselves as the only politician on the planet.

The moral of the story? The guy who gets vetted more extensively usually ends up winning. Faint praises and obligatory acknowledgments go great with your silver medal.

So what does this say when the guy who’s gotten a furious lambasting from segments of both parties is ahead of or dead even with a more experienced opponent?

Probably that John McCain is just another good candidate.

Written by Neal

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Wow, Neal, rock on. Great post. The media (and my own heart, not to mention my besotted 9-year-old) have indeed sold me Barack Obama.